A men's college basketball game between Columbia Lions and Princeton Tigers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket cover moneyline, spread, and over/under outcomes for this single event.
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Princeton win and Columbia win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid resolution path for a No outcome. Polymarket's markets are logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
The Kalshi moneyline market is fundamentally unresolvable due to its logical structure. Trade only Polymarket's markets for this event, which offer consistent, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Verify final score via NCAA.com and confirm no game cancellation before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Princeton wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Columbia wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution, leaving no valid path to No. The market is unresolvable as specified.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Columbia Lions' if Columbia wins, or 'Princeton Tigers' if Princeton wins (mutually exclusive). Spread markets use point-differential thresholds (e.g., Columbia -0.5 resolves to Columbia if they win by 1+). Over/Under markets use combined-score thresholds (137.5, 138.5, 139.5). All markets include postponement hold and 50-50 cancellation clause. Source: NCAA.com.
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