TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Columbia Lions vs. California Golden Bears (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Columbia Lions vs. California Golden Bears (W)

Volume:
$716,646

Columbia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 27, 2026

Closed: Mar 26, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Columbia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$385,577
N/A
N/A
$198,845
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Columbia Lions vs. California Golden Bears (W)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

California

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324,185
N/A
N/A
$181,884
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Columbia Lions and California Golden Bears scheduled for March 26, 2026, at California's home venue. The market resolves to Yes if either team wins the game, creating a binary outcome structure that effectively covers all decisive game results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves to YES for any outcome (either team winning), making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two distinct outcomes (Columbia Lions or California Golden Bears) based on the game result, with proper handling of postponement and cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — its resolution logic is broken and guarantees YES regardless of outcome. Trade only on Polymarket, which has sound binary resolution logic: Columbia Lions wins → resolves to 'Columbia Lions', California Golden Bears wins → resolves to 'California Golden Bears', with clear contingencies for postponement and cancellation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves to YES if Columbia wins OR if California wins, creating a logical contradiction where every possible outcome triggers YES. This makes the market unresolvable and untraditional. Key quote: 'If Columbia wins the Columbia at California women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If California wins the Columbia at California women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound binary resolution: Market resolves to 'Columbia Lions' if Columbia wins or 'California Golden Bears' if California wins, with explicit contingencies for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Columbia Lions win, the market will resolve to Columbia Lions. If the California Golden Bears win, the market will resolve to California Golden Bears. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.