This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Columbia Lions and Brown Bears scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both winning outcomes (Columbia win and Brown win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.
Hero Tip:
This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because both possible game outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reference standard.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary structure: Columbia Lions win resolves to 'Columbia Lions', Brown Bears win resolves to 'Brown Bears'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: states 'If Columbia wins...resolves to Yes' and separately 'If Brown wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result in a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.