TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos (W)
Volume:
$3,523
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Colorado State Rams and New Mexico Lobos scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (New Mexico win and Colorado State win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses a standard categorical resolution tied to team identity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a Yes/No binary (in which case the condition must be mutually exclusive) or if it should mirror Polymarket's categorical structure. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative settlement source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if New Mexico wins AND Yes if Colorado State wins. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Key Quote: 'If New Mexico wins...resolves to Yes. If Colorado St. wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to team name: either 'Colorado State Rams' or 'New Mexico Lobos' based on final score. Includes provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key Quote: 'If the Colorado State Rams win, the market will resolve to Colorado State Rams. If the New Mexico Lobos win, the market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.