TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo
kalshi
polymarket

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo

Volume:
$302,557

Colorado

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 12, 12:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Colorado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117,636
N/A
N/A
$95,156
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colorado Rapids SC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,451
N/A
N/A
$43,899
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Dynamo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,437
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,121
N/A
N/A
$32,861
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Colorado Rapids SC and Houston Dynamo.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Colorado win, Houston win, Tie) are listed as resolving to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (Draw, Colorado Win, Houston Win) that properly partition the outcome space, allowing for consistent resolution.Hero tip: Avoid trading on Kalshi's markets in this group — the resolution rules are internally contradictory and create settlement risk. Trade on Polymarket instead, where the three binary markets (Draw, Colorado Win, Houston Win) follow standard sports betting logic and can be resolved independently based on the final 90-minute result.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets all resolve to YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If Colorado wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Houston wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers YES, making the markets unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of prediction markets.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The Draw market resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw, NO otherwise. The Colorado Win market resolves YES only if Colorado wins, NO otherwise. The Houston Win market resolves YES only if Houston wins, NO otherwise. All three markets reference the same source (mlssoccer.com) and the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time), ensuring exactly one market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO for any given match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.