TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Houston Dynamo
Volume:
$302,557
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Colorado Rapids SC and Houston Dynamo.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Colorado win, Houston win, Tie) are listed as resolving to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets (Draw, Colorado Win, Houston Win) that properly partition the outcome space, allowing for consistent resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's markets in this group — the resolution rules are internally contradictory and create settlement risk. Trade on Polymarket instead, where the three binary markets (Draw, Colorado Win, Houston Win) follow standard sports betting logic and can be resolved independently based on the final 90-minute result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets all resolve to YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If Colorado wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 2 states 'If Houston wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' Market 3 states 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers YES, making the markets unresolvable and contradicting the binary nature of prediction markets.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket uses three independent binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. The Draw market resolves YES only if the game ends in a draw, NO otherwise. The Colorado Win market resolves YES only if Colorado wins, NO otherwise. The Houston Win market resolves YES only if Houston wins, NO otherwise. All three markets reference the same source (mlssoccer.com) and the same time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time), ensuring exactly one market resolves YES and the other two resolve NO for any given match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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