A men's college basketball game between the Colorado Buffaloes and Houston Cougars scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET at Houston. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined total points scored.
Kalshi's moneyline resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both 'Houston wins' and 'Colorado wins' are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket's moneyline and spread/total markets are logically sound and consistent across platforms.
Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's moneyline as a data entry error likely intended to resolve Yes only if either team wins (i.e., No if canceled). Rely on Polymarket's explicit winner resolution (Colorado Buffaloes vs Houston Cougars) and the 50-50 cancellation rule as the authoritative framework. For spread and total markets, both platforms align on final score including overtime and 50-50 cancellation handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline states 'If Houston wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Colorado wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically contradictory and unresolvable. No cancellation rule specified for moneyline.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Colorado Buffaloes' if Colorado wins, 'Houston Cougars' if Houston wins, with explicit 50-50 cancellation rule and postponement handling. Spread and total markets mirror this structure with clear thresholds (O/U 139.5, 138.5; Spread -19.5, -20.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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