Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Remo win, Draw, Bahia win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's three markets will all resolve YES simultaneously for any match outcome, violating basic market logic. Polymarket's three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes. Trade only on Polymarket if you want coherent, resolvable markets.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Remo win, Draw, or Bahia win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Clube do Remo wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (applied separately to each outcome market).
Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, but the resolution logic is contradictory—all three markets state 'then the market resolves to Yes' for mutually exclusive outcomes, meaning all three would resolve YES simultaneously after any match conclusion. Key quote: 'If Remo wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Bahia wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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