This event group covers the Liga MX soccer match between Club Tijuana and Mazatlán FC scheduled for February 22, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Tijuana win, Mazatlán win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES upon game cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi's outcome-based structure does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios. This creates asymmetric payoff risk for draw backers across platforms.
Hero Tip:
Monitor game status closely near February 22, 2026. If cancellation appears likely, Polymarket draw positions become valuable while Kalshi positions face resolution uncertainty. Verify each platform's cancellation protocol with customer support before the event date.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three binary markets (Tijuana win, Mazatlán win, draw) with explicit cancellation clause on draw market only. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve YES' (draw market). Win markets resolve NO on cancellation.
Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie, Mazatlan win, Tijuana win) covering all possibilities with no explicit cancellation language. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (outcome-dependent only). No cancellation contingency stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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