TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna
Volume:
$776,797
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Tijuana and Club Santos Laguna scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the outcome (Tijuana win, Santos win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellation with no makeup game is handled. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation but win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Track Liga MX official communications for any game postponement or cancellation. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders face a logical split: draw resolves Yes while both win markets resolve No. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language creates settlement uncertainty. Prioritize official Liga MX announcements at ligamx.net as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three separate markets covering all possible outcomes (Tijuana win, Santos win, tie). Each resolves to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'If Santos Laguna wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and same for Tijuana and tie).
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Tijuana win (Yes if Tijuana wins, No otherwise), Santos win (Yes if Santos wins, No otherwise), and draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves win markets to No but draw market to Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (for win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve Yes' (for draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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