TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF América - More Markets
Volume:
$109,603
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for April 4 at 11:00 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different threshold terminology for spread markets. Polymarket frames spreads as win-margin thresholds (e.g., '-2.5' means win by 3+ goals), while Kalshi uses explicit 'more than' language (e.g., 'more than 2.5 goals'). Both resolve on the same underlying event and official Liga MX final score, but the threshold interpretation differs slightly in presentation.Hero Tip:
If betting on spread markets, verify the exact threshold on each platform. Polymarket's '-2.5' spread resolves YES if the favored team wins by 3+ goals; Kalshi's 'more than 2.5 goals' resolves YES if the margin exceeds 2.5 (i.e., 3+ goals). The outcomes align, but always confirm the platform's specific wording to avoid confusion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on resolution source and scope: both settle on official Liga MX final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Polymarket frames spreads using negative notation (e.g., 'CF América (-2.5)' means CF América wins by 3+ goals to resolve YES). Over/Under markets resolve on combined goals: Over if total >= threshold + 1 (e.g., O/U 1.5 resolves Over if 2+ combined goals). Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal. Primary source is ligamx.net; fallback to credible reporting if official stats unavailable within 2 hours post-match.
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on resolution source and scope: both settle on official Liga MX final score within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi frames spreads using explicit 'more than' language (e.g., 'Santos Laguna wins by more than 2.5 goals' resolves Yes if margin is 3+). Kalshi provides four spread markets covering both teams at both 1.5 and 2.5 thresholds. Like Polymarket, resolution is based on the official final score; no Over/Under or Both Teams to Score markets are listed for Kalshi in this group.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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