TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Puebla vs. Tigres de la UANL
Volume:
$1,324,919
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Puebla and Tigres de la UANL scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets are offered on three possible outcomes: a draw, a Puebla win, or a Tigres win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on how cancellations and postponements are handled. Polymarket explicitly maps cancellation to YES for the draw market and NO for win markets; Kalshi provides no cancellation/postponement clause, leaving resolution ambiguous in edge cases.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket's draw market will resolve YES while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario is unclear—contact Kalshi support before settlement to confirm their policy. For normal match completion, all platforms align on 90 minutes plus stoppage time as the evaluation window.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit edge-case handling. Draw market resolves YES if canceled (no makeup). Puebla win and Tigres win markets resolve NO if canceled. Postponements keep all markets open until game completion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Tie, Puebla win, Tigres win) all resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or force majeure clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for Puebla and Tigres wins), with no contingency language.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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