TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Puebla vs. Querétaro FC
Volume:
$971,645
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Friday, April 24, 2026 between Club Puebla and Querétaro FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three possible match outcomes (Puebla win, Querétaro win, draw) resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a market that cannot fail. This violates fundamental prediction market logic and makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market entirely. It is not a valid prediction market. Trade only on Polymarket, where three mutually exclusive binary markets (Puebla win, Querétaro win, draw) correctly partition all possible outcomes and exactly one will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each mutually exclusive. Market 1 resolves YES if Puebla wins (NO otherwise). Market 2 resolves YES if draw (NO otherwise). Market 3 resolves YES if Querétaro wins (NO otherwise). Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source: official Liga MX statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Market 1 and 3 to NO, Market 2 to YES.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Querétaro wins... then YES. If Tie wins... then YES. If Puebla wins... then YES.' This structure guarantees the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it logically impossible to resolve NO. This is a critical structural failure, not a valid binary prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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