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Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM
kalshi
polymarket

Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM

Volume:
$836,599

Pumas UNAM

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 7, 2026

Closed: Mar 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pumas UNAM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$385,092
N/A
N/A
$332,358
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pumas de la UNAM

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$216,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Necaxa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Necaxa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,927
N/A
N/A
$47,396
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,655
N/A
N/A
$33,080
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between Club Necaxa and Pumas de la UNAM scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket provides three separate, coherent binary markets with proper Yes/No logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi market until clarified with platform. The resolution logic as stated is impossible to execute. Use Polymarket markets as the reliable settlement reference: resolve Draw market on tie, Pumas market on Pumas victory, Necaxa market on Necaxa victory. Cancellation or postponement rules differ between platforms—Polymarket keeps draw market open on postponement but resolves to Yes if canceled; Kalshi does not specify.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes (Pumas win, Tie, Necaxa win) to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Pumas UNAM wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Necaxa wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of match outcome, making it logically unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic. Draw market resolves Yes only on tie, No otherwise. Pumas market resolves Yes only on Pumas victory, No otherwise. Necaxa market resolves Yes only on Necaxa victory, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Clear cancellation rule: draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.