TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM
Volume:
$836,599
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga MX soccer match between Club Necaxa and Pumas de la UNAM scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets are offered on Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market mathematically unresolvable. Polymarket provides three separate, coherent binary markets with proper Yes/No logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi market until clarified with platform. The resolution logic as stated is impossible to execute. Use Polymarket markets as the reliable settlement reference: resolve Draw market on tie, Pumas market on Pumas victory, Necaxa market on Necaxa victory. Cancellation or postponement rules differ between platforms—Polymarket keeps draw market open on postponement but resolves to Yes if canceled; Kalshi does not specify.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible outcomes (Pumas win, Tie, Necaxa win) to Yes resolution. Quote: 'If Pumas UNAM wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Necaxa wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a tautology where the market always resolves Yes regardless of match outcome, making it logically unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutually exclusive logic. Draw market resolves Yes only on tie, No otherwise. Pumas market resolves Yes only on Pumas victory, No otherwise. Necaxa market resolves Yes only on Necaxa victory, No otherwise. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' Clear cancellation rule: draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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