TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Club Necaxa vs. Deportivo Toluca FC
polymarket
kalshi

Club Necaxa vs. Deportivo Toluca FC

Volume:
$321,318

Toluca

 - Kalshi

Toluca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,422
N/A
N/A
$82,337
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Necaxa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,936
N/A
N/A
$63,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,682
N/A
N/A
$16,533
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$32,041
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Club Necaxa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,664
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Club Necaxa vs. Deportivo Toluca FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,574
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Necaxa and Deportivo Toluca FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Toluca win, Necaxa win, or draw, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, no extra time or penalties).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies draw resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero tip: Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol before trading. If Kalshi defaults to No for all outcomes on cancellation, Polymarket's draw-resolves-Yes rule creates a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Monitor Liga MX official sources for any postponement or cancellation announcements.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Toluca win Yes/No, Necaxa win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No). On game cancellation with no make-up: Toluca and Necaxa markets resolve No; Draw market resolves Yes. Postponement keeps all markets open. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three independent outcome propositions (Toluca wins, Necaxa wins, Tie). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data; standard platform practice would resolve all to No on cancellation, but this is not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.