TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Necaxa vs. Deportivo Toluca FC
Volume:
$321,318
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between Club Necaxa and Deportivo Toluca FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Toluca win, Necaxa win, or draw, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only, no extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between platforms. Polymarket specifies draw resolves Yes if game is canceled with no make-up; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol before trading. If Kalshi defaults to No for all outcomes on cancellation, Polymarket's draw-resolves-Yes rule creates a one-way arbitrage opportunity. Monitor Liga MX official sources for any postponement or cancellation announcements.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Toluca win Yes/No, Necaxa win Yes/No, Draw Yes/No). On game cancellation with no make-up: Toluca and Necaxa markets resolve No; Draw market resolves Yes. Postponement keeps all markets open. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three independent outcome propositions (Toluca wins, Necaxa wins, Tie). Each resolves Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data; standard platform practice would resolve all to No on cancellation, but this is not stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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