TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona - Halftime Result
Volume:
$112,606
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona, scheduled for April 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Atletico win, draw, or Barcelona win), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes, providing coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules guarantee YES regardless of the actual halftime result, rendering it meaningless. Trade only Polymarket's three distinct markets (Atletico leading, draw, Barcelona leading), which have proper binary logic and will resolve to exactly one YES and two NOs based on the actual halftime outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a single market with three resolution conditions that all resolve to YES. The market states 'If Atletico is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Barcelona is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible halftime outcome triggers a YES resolution, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with coherent binary logic: Offers three separate binary markets—'Draw at halftime' (YES if draw, NO otherwise), 'Atletico leading at halftime' (YES if Atletico wins, NO otherwise), and 'Barcelona leading at halftime' (YES if Barcelona wins, NO otherwise). Exactly one market will resolve YES based on the actual halftime result, with resolution sourced from official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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