TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$227,120

Arsenal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 30, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arsenal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61,309
N/A
N/A
$54,604
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,992
N/A
N/A
$60,810
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,701
N/A
N/A
$45,075
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Atletico win, draw, Arsenal win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of the halftime result, making it worthless for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have coherent mutually exclusive logic: exactly one will resolve YES based on the actual halftime outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Market 1 resolves YES only if Atletico leads at halftime. Market 2 resolves YES only if draw at halftime. Market 3 resolves YES only if Arsenal leads at halftime. Exactly one market will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO. Resolution source: official statistics from governing body within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If Atletico is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes. If Arsenal is the winner... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for every possible halftime outcome, rendering it non-predictive and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.