TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$227,120
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible halftime outcomes (Atletico win, draw, Arsenal win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of the halftime result, making it worthless for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets, which have coherent mutually exclusive logic: exactly one will resolve YES based on the actual halftime outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Market 1 resolves YES only if Atletico leads at halftime. Market 2 resolves YES only if draw at halftime. Market 3 resolves YES only if Arsenal leads at halftime. Exactly one market will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO. Resolution source: official statistics from governing body within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions all mapped to YES: 'If Atletico is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes. If Arsenal is the winner... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES for every possible halftime outcome, rendering it non-predictive and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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