TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC
Volume:
$26,085,522
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Arsenal win, Atletico win, or tie), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event group. The three Kalshi conditions are contradictory—they cannot all resolve YES simultaneously. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three outcomes (Arsenal win, Atletico win, draw) are mutually exclusive and exactly one will resolve YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three conditions resolve to YES regardless of match outcome. Conditions state: 'If Arsenal wins...then YES', 'If Atletico wins...then YES', 'If Tie wins...then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES, violating basic market structure.
- Polymarket: Three properly structured binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw (YES/NO), Arsenal Win (YES/NO), Atletico Win (YES/NO). Exactly one outcome occurs; exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is UEFA official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation rules are specified (draw market resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO if canceled).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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