TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC
polymarket
kalshi

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC

Volume:
$26,085,522

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 30, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,457,451
N/A
N/A
$904,052
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,052,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,258,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,977,863
N/A
N/A
$1,843,018
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,085,941
N/A
N/A
$5,254,300
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Atlético de Madrid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,253,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 29, 2026 between Club Atlético de Madrid and Arsenal FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Arsenal win, Atletico win, or tie), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event group. The three Kalshi conditions are contradictory—they cannot all resolve YES simultaneously. Trade only on Polymarket, where the three outcomes (Arsenal win, Atletico win, draw) are mutually exclusive and exactly one will resolve YES.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three conditions resolve to YES regardless of match outcome. Conditions state: 'If Arsenal wins...then YES', 'If Atletico wins...then YES', 'If Tie wins...then YES'. This creates a logical impossibility where the market always resolves YES, violating basic market structure.
  • Polymarket: Three properly structured binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw (YES/NO), Arsenal Win (YES/NO), Atletico Win (YES/NO). Exactly one outcome occurs; exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is UEFA official statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours post-match. Cancellation rules are specified (draw market resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO if canceled).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.