TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC
Volume:
$309,290
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Chicago Fire FC and Nashville SC will compete in an MLS regular season match on April 4, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Chicago Fire FC wins, Nashville SC wins, or the match ends in a draw. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Chicago win, Draw, Nashville win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction in Kalshi's structure.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they are logically malformed and will all resolve YES simultaneously, making them unresolvable as distinct prediction instruments. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound prediction market logic: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Chicago win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Nashville win YES/NO) where exactly one resolves YES and the others resolve NO. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' — and identical logic applies to Draw and Nashville markets, ensuring only one outcome is true.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets are logically contradictory. Each market is phrased as 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' but a soccer match produces exactly one outcome. All three Kalshi markets will simultaneously resolve YES, which is impossible and makes them unresolvable as distinct instruments. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Nashville wins...then the market resolves to Yes' — all three conditions cannot be true at once.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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