TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC
Volume:
$154,331
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the Chicago Fire FC vs. D.C. United SC MLS soccer match scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets assess whether Chicago Fire wins, D.C. United wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves draw to YES and win/loss to NO if game is canceled with no makeup; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. Postponed games remain open on both platforms until played. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw bettors win while win/loss bettors lose; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi support on cancellation protocol.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Chicago Fire win and D.C. United win markets resolve NO on cancellation; draw market resolves YES on cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open. Regular play only (90 min + stoppage).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Chicago Fire win, DC United win, Tie) all resolve YES if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Regular play only (90 min + stoppage, no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.