TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chicago Fire FC vs. CF Montréal
Volume:
$337,804
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Chicago Fire FC and CF Montréal scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets across platforms assess whether Chicago Fire wins, CF Montréal wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi omits explicit cancellation logic across all three outcome markets, while Polymarket's draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation (versus No for win markets), creating asymmetric settlement risk.Hero Tip:
Monitor for game postponement or cancellation announcements. If canceled with no make-up, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi support on cancellation protocol before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit postponement and cancellation clauses. Win markets (Montreal, Chicago) resolve No on cancellation; draw market uniquely resolves Yes on cancellation. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw only) versus 'Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Three binary Yes-resolution markets with no explicit cancellation or postponement guidance. All three outcomes (Tie, Montreal win, Chicago win) are treated as equivalent Yes-resolution events. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Chicago Fire vs Montreal professional MLS soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes' (no cancellation clause provided).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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