TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC
kalshi
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC

Volume:
$368,128

Chicago Fire

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago Fire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$152,373
N/A
N/A
$52,200
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$67,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,340
N/A
N/A
$50,220
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlanta United FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,922
N/A
N/A
$20,268
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Chicago Fire FC and Atlanta United FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on any outcome (Chicago win, Atlanta win, or draw) as YES, creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets (Chicago win, Atlanta win, draw) that each resolve independently based on the specific outcome, allowing for mutually exclusive and exhaustive resolution.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's market structure—it resolves YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three separate markets instead, where exactly one will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO, providing clear outcome differentiation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three rules state that the market resolves YES if Chicago wins, YES if Atlanta wins, or YES if a tie occurs. This creates a tautology where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, rendering it unable to distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets—one for Chicago win (YES/NO), one for Atlanta win (YES/NO), and one for draw (YES/NO)—where exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO based on the actual match outcome. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure applies identically to each of the three outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.