TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chicago Fire FC vs. Atlanta United FC
Volume:
$368,128
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between Chicago Fire FC and Atlanta United FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on any outcome (Chicago win, Atlanta win, or draw) as YES, creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets (Chicago win, Atlanta win, draw) that each resolve independently based on the specific outcome, allowing for mutually exclusive and exhaustive resolution.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market structure—it resolves YES regardless of the match result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's three separate markets instead, where exactly one will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO, providing clear outcome differentiation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three rules state that the market resolves YES if Chicago wins, YES if Atlanta wins, or YES if a tie occurs. This creates a tautology where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, rendering it unable to distinguish between outcomes. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Atlanta wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting logic: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets—one for Chicago win (YES/NO), one for Atlanta win (YES/NO), and one for draw (YES/NO)—where exactly one resolves YES and the other two resolve NO based on the actual match outcome. Key quote: 'If Chicago Fire FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure applies identically to each of the three outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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