TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC
Volume:
$5,572,303
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between Chelsea FC and Manchester United FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket resolve based on the official match outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, with identical scope and timing requirements.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Premier League statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
- Exactly one of three outcomes will occur: Chelsea wins, Manchester United wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Each outcome corresponds to one market resolving YES on Polymarket (three separate markets) and all outcomes resolve YES on Kalshi (single omnibus market).
- If the match is postponed, resolution is deferred until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket markets for Chelsea win and Manchester United win resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES; Kalshi resolves YES for all outcomes (as the event did not occur).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed and resolved based on the actual outcome when played.
- Match Cancellation with No Rescheduling: On Polymarket, Chelsea win and Manchester United win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES. On Kalshi, all outcomes resolve YES since the event did not occur as scheduled.
- Official Statistics Delay: If Premier League does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the Premier League or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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