TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Birmingham City FC
Volume:
$33,831
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Charlton Athletic FC and Birmingham City FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and a draw outcome on Polymarket, versus three outcome-specific contracts on Kalshi.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes if the game is canceled (no draw occurred), while win markets resolve to No under the same scenario. Additionally, Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation or postponement rules, creating unresolvable ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Polymarket draw market until the cancellation clause is clarified by the platform. The statement 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' contradicts standard sports market logic. Request written confirmation from Polymarket on whether this is intentional or a documentation error. For Kalshi, demand explicit cancellation/postponement resolution rules before committing capital.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets: Charlton Win (resolves Yes if Charlton wins, No otherwise), Draw (resolves Yes if draw, but also Yes if game canceled with no makeup), and Birmingham Win (resolves Yes if Birmingham wins, No otherwise). Critical flaw: Draw market's cancellation clause states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' — logically inconsistent with win markets which resolve to No on cancellation.
- Kalshi: Offers three outcome-specific markets: Charlton Wins (Yes if Charlton wins after 90+stoppage), Birmingham Wins (Yes if Birmingham wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (Yes if draw after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation, postponement, or makeup game language provided, creating ambiguity on resolution in edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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