Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls - More Markets
Volume:
$27,023
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24h
7d
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Description
This event group covers an MLS match between Charlotte FC and New York Red Bulls scheduled for March 21, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span spread betting (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals (combined goals), and both-teams-to-score. Resolution depends on the official final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Polymarket provides complete, threshold-based spread and total markets with explicit Yes/No outcomes. Kalshi markets are directionally defined but lack complete resolution logic for all match outcomes, creating ambiguity in market scope and settlement conditions.
Hero Tip:
Do not assume Kalshi markets are direct equivalents to Polymarket spreads. Kalshi's four markets only specify Yes conditions; clarify whether draws or narrow wins (within the threshold) resolve to No, and whether markets are mutually exclusive. Polymarket markets are fully specified and resolvable on any final score.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Spread markets use explicit threshold logic: Charlotte FC (-2.5) resolves YES if Charlotte wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO. Over/Under markets use combined-goal thresholds (e.g., O/U 1.5 resolves Over if combined score is 2+, Under if less than 2). Both Teams to Score resolves YES if each team scores at least 1 goal, NO otherwise. All markets fully specify both YES and NO outcomes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to [outcome] if [condition]. Otherwise, this market will resolve to [alternative outcome].'
Kalshi: Four markets provided with directional Yes conditions only: (1) NYRB wins by more than 1.5 goals = Yes, (2) Charlotte wins by more than 1.5 goals = Yes, (3) NYRB wins by more than 2.5 goals = Yes, (4) Charlotte wins by more than 2.5 goals = Yes. No explicit No conditions, no handling of draws or narrow wins, no clarification of mutual exclusivity. Key quote: 'If [team] wins by more than [X] goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' (No corresponding No condition provided.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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