This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Charlotte FC and Austin FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets on both platforms resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause.
Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes but win markets resolve No. Kalshi likely defaults to No. This creates a logical inconsistency: the three mutually exclusive outcomes (Charlotte win, Austin win, draw) cannot all resolve No on Kalshi if the game is canceled, yet Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes. Clarify cancellation policy with both platforms before expiration.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket - Draw Market: Resolves to Yes if game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If game is canceled entirely with no make-up, resolves to Yes. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
Polymarket - Win Markets (Charlotte & Austin): Resolve to Yes only if that team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If game is canceled entirely with no make-up, resolves to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to No.'
Kalshi - All Markets (Austin Win, Tie, Charlotte Win): Each resolves to Yes only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; default behavior unclear. Key quote: 'If Austin wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (outcome-conditional only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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