TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Charlotte 49ers vs. UAB Blazers (W)
Volume:
$21,853
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Charlotte 49ers and UAB Blazers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses a binary Yes-only structure where both possible game outcomes (Charlotte win or UAB win) resolve to Yes, while Polymarket uses a categorical structure where the market resolves to the name of the winning team. The underlying game outcome is identical, but the settlement value representation differs.Hero Tip:
Confirm with each platform whether Kalshi's market has an implicit No resolution (likely for cancellation/no-makeup scenario) and whether Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule applies symmetrically. Treat these as separate market instruments despite covering the same game.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure where both UAB win and Charlotte win resolve to Yes. No explicit No outcome is defined for either team winning. Quote: 'If UAB wins the Charlotte at UAB women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charlotte wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to team name (Charlotte 49ers or UAB Blazers). Includes explicit postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 resolution) provisions. Quote: 'If the Charlotte 49ers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte 49ers". If the UAB Blazers win, the market will resolve to "UAB Blazers". If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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