This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between the Charleston Cougars and Monmouth Hawks scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
Kalshi's resolution logic resolves both possible game outcomes to Yes, which is logically incoherent for a sports outcome market. This suggests either incomplete source data, a data integrity failure, or Kalshi's market is measuring something other than the game winner (e.g., game completion). Polymarket clearly resolves to specific team names.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market without clarification from the platform. The logic as stated is unresolvable - both outcomes cannot both be Yes. Polymarket's market is clear and actionable: bet on Charleston Cougars or Monmouth Hawks. Assume Kalshi data is incomplete or erroneous.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes regardless of which team wins. Both Monmouth victory and Charleston victory trigger Yes resolution. This is logically contradictory for a winner-determination market.
Polymarket: Market resolves to team-specific outcomes: Charleston Cougars or Monmouth Hawks based on final score including overtime. Postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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