TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Universidad de Chile vs. CD Universidad Católica
Volume:
$36,642
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Chile Primera game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between CF Universidad de Chile and CD Universidad Católica.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: all three possible match outcomes (U de Chile win, Tie, Universidad Catolica win) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a guaranteed arbitrage opportunity across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. If you must choose, Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets with sound logic. Kalshi's structure guarantees profit regardless of match outcome, indicating a critical platform error or intentional design flaw.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: (1) U de Chile win resolves YES only if U de Chile wins, (2) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, (3) Universidad Catolica win resolves YES only if Universidad Catolica wins. Exactly one market resolves YES per match outcome. Resolution based on official ANFP statistics within 2 hours post-match, with fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Three markets with identical resolution logic: all three state 'if [outcome] wins...then resolves to Yes.' This means U de Chile win → YES, Tie → YES, and Universidad Catolica win → YES simultaneously. The market structure violates basic logical exclusivity and guarantees all three markets resolve YES regardless of actual match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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