TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna
Volume:
$76,124
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CF Pachuca and Club Santos Laguna will compete in a Liga MX match on April 11, 2026. This event group contains three mutually exclusive outcome markets: Pachuca win, Santos Laguna win, or draw. All markets resolve based on the final result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with official Liga MX statistics as the primary source.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket differ fundamentally in scope and resolution logic. Kalshi offers four separate over/under markets on total goals scored (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), while Polymarket offers three binary outcome markets (Santos win, Pachuca win, draw). The platforms resolve on entirely different underlying events: Kalshi on goal totals, Polymarket on match result.Hero Tip:
These are not competing predictions of the same outcome—they are orthogonal markets. A Kalshi YES on 'over 2.5 goals' is compatible with any Polymarket result (Santos win, Pachuca win, or draw). Do not assume one platform's resolution validates or contradicts the other. Use them to hedge different aspects of the match: Kalshi for goal volume, Polymarket for match outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves on total goals scored by both teams combined across four separate threshold markets (over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 goals). Each market independently resolves YES if the combined goal count exceeds the threshold, NO otherwise. Key quote: 'If Santos Laguna and Pachuca collectively score more than [X] total goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on the final match result (win/loss/draw) determined by goals scored by each team individually, not combined totals. Three separate binary markets cover Santos win, Pachuca win, and draw. Key quote: 'If Club Santos Laguna wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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