TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa
Volume:
$183,431
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three related prediction markets on the CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa Liga MX soccer match scheduled for March 3, 2026. Markets predict whether Pachuca wins, Necaxa wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi omits explicit cancellation/postponement handling, while Polymarket specifies that cancellation with no make-up resolves Pachuca/Necaxa markets to No but the draw market to Yes. This creates asymmetric payoff profiles in a cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
If you believe cancellation risk is material, Polymarket's draw market offers asymmetric upside (Yes payout on cancellation) versus Pachuca/Necaxa markets (No payout on cancellation). Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates ambiguity; assume Kalshi would follow standard sports betting convention (void/no-action on cancellation), but verify with platform support before trading large positions.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive binary markets (Pachuca Yes, Necaxa Yes, Tie Yes) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause. Resolution is based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation handling is not specified.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with explicit postponement and cancellation rules. Pachuca and Necaxa markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up game. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up game. All three reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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