TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls
polymarket
kalshi

CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls

Volume:
$469,036

Montreal

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Montreal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$161,399
N/A
N/A
$90,678
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Montréal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134,051
N/A
N/A
$72,601
Settled
No
polymarket

New York Red Bulls

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,283
N/A
N/A
$15,807
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CF Montréal vs. New York Red Bulls)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between CF Montréal and New York Red Bulls.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Montreal win, New York win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, creating a logical contradiction where exactly one outcome should occur but all three markets can resolve YES.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution logic is fundamentally broken—if you bet YES on any Kalshi outcome, you cannot determine whether you won or lost because all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve YES. Polymarket offers coherent binary markets where exactly one outcome resolves YES.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Montreal Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), New York Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the final 90-minute result. Resolution source is official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Montreal and New York markets to NO, Draw market to YES.
  • Kalshi: Three separate markets, each with identical resolution logic: 'If [outcome] wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—the platform states all three markets resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs, but only one outcome can occur in a single match. The resolution rules do not specify what happens if the other outcomes occur, leaving two of the three markets with undefined resolution states.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.