TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Monterrey vs. CF Cruz Azul
Volume:
$104,237
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga MX soccer match between CF Monterrey and CF Cruz Azul scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the match outcome (win/loss/draw) and goal differential thresholds within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures (binary outcomes vs. goal-differential thresholds) and diverge on cancellation handling, particularly for the draw scenario.Hero Tip:
Monitor Liga MX official schedule for postponements or cancellations. If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while Kalshi's threshold markets have no explicit resolution path. For normal game completion, both platforms resolve consistently based on final 90-minute score.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets: Monterrey win (YES if Monterrey wins, NO otherwise), Cruz Azul win (YES if Cruz Azul wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if match ends in a draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise). All refer to first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Postponed games remain open until completion.
- Kalshi: Four goal-differential threshold markets: Monterrey >2.5 goals, Monterrey >1.5 goals, Cruz Azul >1.5 goals, Cruz Azul >2.5 goals. Each resolves YES if the specified team wins by the stated margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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