TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa
Volume:
$965,576
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026 between CF Cruz Azul and Club Necaxa.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent with all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Cruz Azul win, tie, Necaxa win) resolving to Yes, making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are coherent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative source for this match. Kalshi's market cannot function as written and should not be traded until the platform corrects the resolution logic. If forced to settle Kalshi, it would trivially resolve Yes regardless of match outcome, which defeats the purpose of a prediction market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all outcomes. Cruz Azul Win market: resolves Yes if Cruz Azul wins, No otherwise. Draw market: resolves Yes if draw, Yes if canceled with no makeup, No otherwise. Necaxa Win market: resolves Yes if Necaxa wins, No otherwise. Primary source: official Liga MX statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Cruz Azul wins then Yes', 'If Tie wins then Yes', 'If Necaxa wins then Yes'. This structure is logically impossible because all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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