TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF América vs. Mazatlán FC
Volume:
$448,140
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three mutually exclusive outcomes of a Liga MX professional soccer match between CF América and Mazatlán FC scheduled for March 15, 2026: a Mazatlán win, an América win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating uncertainty about how a canceled match would settle across its three mutually exclusive outcome markets.Hero Tip:
Assume Polymarket's cancellation rule applies as written: draw YES, wins NO. For Kalshi, treat cancellation as an unresolved edge case and seek clarification from the platform. In practice, Liga MX matches are rarely canceled without a makeup date, so this divergence has low practical impact unless a genuine cancellation occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Mazatlán win (YES if Mazatlán wins, NO otherwise), América win (YES if América wins, NO otherwise), and draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Explicit cancellation rule: if game is canceled with no makeup, draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcomes presented as a single event group: Mazatlán win, América win, or Tie. Each resolves YES if that outcome occurs. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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