TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul
kalshi
polymarket

CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul

Volume:
$197,968

Draw (CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul)

 - Polymarket

Draw (CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 12, 2026

Closed: Apr 11, 11:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Cruz Azul

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CF América

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,988
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,508
N/A
N/A
$11,961
Settled
No
kalshi

America wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,494
N/A
N/A
$11,054
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruz Azul wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,066
N/A
N/A
$6,915
Settled
No
kalshi

America wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,115
N/A
N/A
$3,925
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between CF América and CF Cruz Azul scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: margin-of-victory thresholds (Kalshi) and three-way moneyline outcomes (Polymarket). All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market type divergence: Kalshi operates goal-margin binary contracts while Polymarket operates traditional three-way moneyline markets. Both reference the same match but resolve via different outcome structures.Hero tip: Recognize these as complementary market types, not competing versions. Kalshi margin markets allow precise hedging on goal differential; Polymarket moneyline markets provide simple win/draw/loss exposure. Use each according to your prediction confidence and risk profile.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four separate binary markets based on goal-margin thresholds (América >2.5, América >1.5, Cruz Azul >1.5, Cruz Azul >2.5). Each resolves independently Yes/No based on whether the specified margin is achieved. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive moneyline markets (América Win, Draw, Cruz Azul Win). Exactly one resolves Yes; others resolve No. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation logic differs: if game is canceled with no makeup, América and Cruz Azul markets resolve No, but Draw market resolves Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.