TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul
Volume:
$197,968
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between CF América and CF Cruz Azul scheduled for April 11, 2026. Markets span multiple outcome types: margin-of-victory thresholds (Kalshi) and three-way moneyline outcomes (Polymarket). All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market type divergence: Kalshi operates goal-margin binary contracts while Polymarket operates traditional three-way moneyline markets. Both reference the same match but resolve via different outcome structures.Hero Tip:
Recognize these as complementary market types, not competing versions. Kalshi margin markets allow precise hedging on goal differential; Polymarket moneyline markets provide simple win/draw/loss exposure. Use each according to your prediction confidence and risk profile.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four separate binary markets based on goal-margin thresholds (América >2.5, América >1.5, Cruz Azul >1.5, Cruz Azul >2.5). Each resolves independently Yes/No based on whether the specified margin is achieved. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive moneyline markets (América Win, Draw, Cruz Azul Win). Exactly one resolves Yes; others resolve No. Resolution window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation logic differs: if game is canceled with no makeup, América and Cruz Azul markets resolve No, but Draw market resolves Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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