TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol
polymarket
kalshi

Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol

Volume:
$62,030

Draw (Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 7, 2026

Closed: Apr 6, 6:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,289
N/A
N/A
$2,775
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cesena FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cesena

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,915
N/A
N/A
$5,959
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Südtirol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sudtirol Bolzano

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,061
N/A
N/A
$2,692
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Cesena FC and FC Südtirol (Bolzano) will compete in a Serie B professional soccer match on April 6, 2026. The markets assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Cesena win, Südtirol win, or draw).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Cesena win, Südtirol win, Tie) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive settlement. Polymarket uses standard binary markets (one per outcome) with mutually exclusive resolutions, allowing only one outcome to resolve YES per match result.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market without clarification from the platform. If you hold a position, the market cannot resolve to a single outcome—all three conditions cannot simultaneously be true. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are resolvable and mutually exclusive; use those as the reliable settlement reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports settlement logic: three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single outcome. Only one market resolves YES per match result. Resolution source is official Lega Serie B statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation with no makeup resolves NO for win markets, YES for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Outlier: single market with three mutually exclusive conditions, each stated as 'if [outcome], then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—all three conditions cannot be true simultaneously after a single match. The market structure violates basic settlement logic and cannot produce a valid resolution. No fallback source or cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.