TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cesena FC vs. FC Südtirol
Volume:
$62,030
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Cesena FC and FC Südtirol (Bolzano) will compete in a Serie B professional soccer match on April 6, 2026. The markets assess the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Cesena win, Südtirol win, or draw).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Cesena win, Südtirol win, Tie) resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive settlement. Polymarket uses standard binary markets (one per outcome) with mutually exclusive resolutions, allowing only one outcome to resolve YES per match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market without clarification from the platform. If you hold a position, the market cannot resolve to a single outcome—all three conditions cannot simultaneously be true. Polymarket's three separate binary markets are resolvable and mutually exclusive; use those as the reliable settlement reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports settlement logic: three separate binary markets, each resolving YES or NO based on a single outcome. Only one market resolves YES per match result. Resolution source is official Lega Serie B statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation with no makeup resolves NO for win markets, YES for draw market.
- Kalshi: Outlier: single market with three mutually exclusive conditions, each stated as 'if [outcome], then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility—all three conditions cannot be true simultaneously after a single match. The market structure violates basic settlement logic and cannot produce a valid resolution. No fallback source or cancellation clause is specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.