TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Shimizu S-Pulse
Volume:
$94,567
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Japan J1 League soccer match between Cerezo Ōsaka and Shimizu S-Pulse scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Cerezo win, draw, and Shimizu win, each resolving based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic diverges between Polymarket draw market (resolves YES on cancellation) and Polymarket win markets (resolve NO on cancellation). Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely, creating potential ambiguity if the match does not occur.Hero Tip:
Monitor J-League scheduling updates. If cancellation is announced, Polymarket's draw market and win markets will conflict in their resolution logic. Kalshi offers no guidance. Request explicit clarification from both platforms on how a canceled match with no makeup affects each market before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets (Cerezo win, Draw, Shimizu win) all reference the same match on 2026-03-07. Win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. All markets resolve based on official J-League statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [NO for wins / YES for draw].'
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Shimizu win, Cerezo win, Tie) covering the same match. Resolution logic states: 'If [outcome] wins the Cerezo vs Shimizu professional Japan J1 League soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit cancellation, postponement, or makeup clause provided. Key quote: 'originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties).'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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