TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Mercyhurst Lakers (W)
Volume:
$486,557
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Central Connecticut State Blue Devils and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary Yes/No structure resolves to Yes for both possible game outcomes (either team winning), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-predictive. Polymarket uses a categorical resolution (team name) that correctly differentiates outcomes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market design is fatally flawed and should be avoided. The Yes resolution for both win scenarios means there is no actual prediction mechanism. Trade only on Polymarket, which has coherent categorical resolution logic. Escalate Kalshi's market to support for clarification or cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution: market resolves to the name of the winning team. If Central Connecticut State wins, resolves to 'Central Connecticut State Blue Devils'. If Mercyhurst wins, resolves to 'Mercyhurst Lakers'. Includes overtime in final score. Postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market that resolves Yes if Central Connecticut St. wins AND also resolves Yes if Mercyhurst wins. This creates a logical impossibility where both outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market non-functional as a prediction instrument.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.