TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Stetson Hatters
Volume:
$58,536
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Central Arkansas Bears and Stetson Hatters scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under at two different lines.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Central Arkansas win and Stetson win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating arbitrage risk.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. It is broken. Polymarket moneyline, all spread markets, and all total markets are logically sound and can be safely traded. If you hold Kalshi moneyline contracts, seek clarification or exit before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes regardless of winner. Both Central Arkansas victory and Stetson victory trigger Yes resolution. This is a logical impossibility for a binary sports outcome.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name: either 'Central Arkansas Bears' or 'Stetson Hatters' based on final score. Mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread and total markets use standard thresholds (9+ points for -9.5 spread, 10+ points for -10.5 spread, 149+ and 150+ for totals).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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