A men's college basketball game between Central Arkansas Bears and Austin Peay Governors scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-3.5 and -4.5), and total points over/under at multiple lines (150.5, 151.5, 152.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Austin Peay win and Central Arkansas win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket markets are logically sound and mutually consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the platform clarifies whether it should resolve Yes for one team only, or if this is a data entry error. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) use consistent NCAA final score methodology and are safe to trade. Spreads and totals are identical in resolution logic across both platforms.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Austin Peay wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Central Arkansas wins... resolves to Yes'. This is logically contradictory for a binary Yes/No market and makes resolution impossible.
Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to winner name (Central Arkansas Bears or Austin Peay Governors) with clear binary logic. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. All spread and total markets use consistent final-score-including-overtime methodology.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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