TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Celtics vs. Nuggets
Volume:
$5,599,970
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Boston Celtics and Denver Nuggets scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET in Denver. Markets span moneyline, spread, over/under totals, player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half derivatives across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction: both win conditions resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets across both platforms use consistent threshold-based logic tied to official NBA box scores.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline (items 1-2). Trade only Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total/prop markets, which follow standard NBA resolution: final score including overtime, official NBA.com box score as source, 50-50 split if game cancelled with no makeup, market remains open if postponed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline logic is contradictory: 'If Boston wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Denver wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution, making the market logically impossible to resolve. This is a data integrity failure.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Celtics' if Celtics win, 'Nuggets' if Nuggets win — standard binary logic. All spreads use threshold logic (e.g., Nuggets -3.5 resolves Nuggets if win by 4+, else Celtics). Totals use combined score thresholds. All tied to official NBA.com box score including overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.