TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.1b

24H VOL:

$140,881,811

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,525,689,812

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,593,041,412

479,659

Markets across

37,354

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,909

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Celtics vs. Heat
kalshi
polymarket

Celtics vs. Heat

Volume:
$10,829,103

Boston

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 2, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Boston

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,278,719
N/A
N/A
$2,924,517
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Celtics vs. Heat

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,497,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$613,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 228.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$216,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 230.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$82,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$34,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 229.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 247.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 252.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 255.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 249.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 244.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 239.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$776
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 118.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 78

Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 1 at 7:30PM ET: If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Miami wins OR Boston wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures multiple distinct markets (Moneyline, Spreads, Over/Unders, Player Props) that resolve to specific outcomes based on final game result and official NBA box scores.Hero tip: Do NOT trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction that guarantees both YES and NO outcomes simultaneously, rendering settlement impossible. All trading activity should be directed to Polymarket, which offers properly structured markets with clear, mutually exclusive resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical error. The market states 'If Miami wins the Boston at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Boston wins the Boston at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, violating the fundamental principle that a binary market must have mutually exclusive outcomes.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Offers 38 distinct, logically coherent markets covering Moneyline (Celtics vs Heat resolves to 'Celtics' or 'Heat'), multiple Spread tiers (Celtics -3.5 through -20.5, each with specific point thresholds), Over/Under totals (228.5 through 274.5 points), Player Props (Points, Rebounds, Assists for named players), and First Half variants. Each market has mutually exclusive outcomes tied to official NBA box scores: 'If the Celtics win the game by 4 or more points' resolves Celtics, 'Otherwise' resolves Heat.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.