This event group covers a professional Czech Extraliga ice hockey match between Mountfield HK and Sparta Prague scheduled for March 1, 2026. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created markets to predict the winner of this single game.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sparta Prague win and Mountfield HK win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form. The resolution logic is internally contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's market is clear: winner takes all with defined edge-case handling. Request Kalshi clarification before committing capital.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean winner-take-all binary: resolves to "Mountfield HK" if they win, "Sparta Prague" if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime and shootouts (shootout winner gets +1 goal added).
Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both "If HC Sparta Praha wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If Mountfield HK wins... resolves to Yes". This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome resolves Yes, breaking the binary Yes/No structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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