TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CEHL: Mountfield HK vs. Mlada Boleslav
Volume:
$1,100
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Czech Extraliga ice hockey match between Mountfield HK and Mlada Boleslav scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi both aim to resolve based on the final game outcome, but differ fundamentally in their resolution logic and scope.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Mountfield HK win and Mlada Boleslav win) are mapped to the same resolution value (YES), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi until corrected. The market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes. Trade Polymarket instead, which has coherent binary resolution logic and explicit handling of postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with three-way logic: resolves to team name if that team wins (final score including overtime/shootout, with one goal added to shootout winner). Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: hokej.cz/tipsport-extraliga.
- Kalshi: Dual YES resolution: states both "If Mountfield HK wins... resolves to Yes" AND "If BK Mlada Boleslav wins... resolves to Yes." No NO condition specified. Logically impossible for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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