TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
Volume:
$229,149
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Cádiz CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B scheduled for February 23, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Cádiz win, Real Sociedad B win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation-triggers-YES clause that diverges from Kalshi's outcome-only resolution logic and creates logical tension with Polymarket's own win markets (which resolve NO on cancellation).Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. If the game is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while its win markets resolve NO—a profitable but artificial outcome. Kalshi markets would likely suspend. Avoid over-weighting Polymarket draw positions unless you have high confidence in cancellation probability.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Cádiz win (YES if Cádiz wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Real Sociedad B win (YES if Real Sociedad B wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets with no explicit cancellation clause: Real Sociedad B win (YES if Real Sociedad B wins after 90+stoppage), Cadiz win (YES if Cadiz wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (YES if tie after 90+stoppage). Implies standard suspension/rescheduling protocol on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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