TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
polymarket
kalshi

Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B

Volume:
$229,149

Real Sociedad B

 - Kalshi

Real Sociedad B - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 24, 2026

Closed: Feb 23, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Sociedad B

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$76,170
N/A
N/A
$42,731
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cadiz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,589
N/A
N/A
$31,943
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,629
N/A
N/A
$17,153
Settled
No
polymarket

Real Sociedad de Fútbol B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,211
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Cádiz CF

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,906
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,644
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between Cádiz CF and Real Sociedad de Fútbol B scheduled for February 23, 2026. Three prediction markets track the outcome: Cádiz win, Real Sociedad B win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes a cancellation-triggers-YES clause that diverges from Kalshi's outcome-only resolution logic and creates logical tension with Polymarket's own win markets (which resolve NO on cancellation).Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation risk. If the game is canceled without rescheduling, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while its win markets resolve NO—a profitable but artificial outcome. Kalshi markets would likely suspend. Avoid over-weighting Polymarket draw positions unless you have high confidence in cancellation probability.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Cádiz win (YES if Cádiz wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Real Sociedad B win (YES if Real Sociedad B wins, NO otherwise including cancellation), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise). Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets with no explicit cancellation clause: Real Sociedad B win (YES if Real Sociedad B wins after 90+stoppage), Cadiz win (YES if Cadiz wins after 90+stoppage), Tie (YES if tie after 90+stoppage). Implies standard suspension/rescheduling protocol on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.