TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Cobresal
Volume:
$52,286
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
CD Universidad de Concepción will face CD Cobresal on April 12, 2026, in a Chilean football match. Three interconnected markets track the outcome: whether Universidad de Concepción wins, whether Cobresal wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the final result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Universidad win, Draw, Cobresal win) that collectively cover all possible outcomes, while Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets that each resolve YES for any of the three outcomes, creating logical contradiction and making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as a coherent group.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's markets in this group — they are logically incoherent. All three Kalshi markets will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making them worthless for prediction. Polymarket's three mutually exclusive markets are the only coherent way to express the three outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (Universidad win, Draw, or Cobresal win). Each market explicitly resolves NO for all other outcomes. Key quote: 'If CD Universidad de Concepción wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' (and identical logic for Draw and Cobresal markets).
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three separate markets, each resolving YES for any of the three possible outcomes (Universidad win, Cobresal win, or Tie). This means all three markets will resolve YES simultaneously regardless of the actual result, violating basic logical coherence. Key quote: 'If U de Concepcion wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Cobresal wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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