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405,232

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30,526

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2,693

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5

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39%

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CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca
kalshi
polymarket

CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca

Volume:
$703,220

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 6:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$2,780
$190,596
N/A
N/A
$109,114
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alverca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$575
$235,407
N/A
N/A
$127,474
Settled
No
kalshi

Tondela

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$1,388
$165,495
N/A
N/A
$112,255
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CD Tondela vs. FC Alverca)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,314
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

FC Alverca

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,752
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

CD Tondela

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,656
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between CD Tondela and FC Alverca scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure logically contradicts itself by stating all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to Yes. Polymarket correctly structures three independent binary markets. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's side.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version until clarified. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: exactly one of Draw, Tondela Win, or Alverca Win will occur and resolve Yes; the other two resolve No. Use Polymarket as your settlement reference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market lists three conditions, each stating 'resolves to Yes': Tondela win Yes, Alverca win Yes, Tie Yes. This is logically impossible for a single match outcome. Quote: 'If Tondela wins...resolves to Yes. If Alverca wins...resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw Yes/No, (2) Tondela Win Yes/No, (3) Alverca Win Yes/No. Exactly one resolves Yes based on actual match result. Quote: 'If CD Tondela wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.