CD Tolima and Jaguares de Córdoba FC are scheduled to compete on March 28, 2026, in a Colombian professional football match. Three interconnected markets track the outcome: whether CD Tolima wins, whether Jaguares de Córdoba FC wins, or whether the match ends in a draw. All markets evaluate only the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Tie, Jaguares win, Tolima win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic aligned to standard soccer outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's market due to logical contradiction. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate markets (Draw, Jaguares Win, Tolima Win), which follow standard soccer settlement logic with consistent source (DIMAYOR) and clear cancellation/postponement rules.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure contains a logical contradiction. All three possible outcomes (Tie, Jaguares win, Tolima win) are stated to resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. The rules state 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Jaguares wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tolima wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' which means every possible outcome triggers YES resolution.
Polymarket: Aligned with standard soccer settlement logic: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Draw YES/NO, Jaguares Win YES/NO, Tolima Win YES/NO) with clear resolution criteria. Each market resolves based on official DIMAYOR statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, with explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (Draw resolves YES, Win markets resolve NO).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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