TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Tolima vs. Atlético Nacional
Volume:
$131,654
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR professional soccer match between CD Tolima and Atlético Nacional scheduled for March 1, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the match outcome: Tolima win, draw, and Nacional win, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic diverges on the Polymarket draw market, which resolves YES upon full cancellation, while all other markets (Polymarket win markets and all Kalshi markets) resolve NO. This creates an inconsistent payout structure for the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
If you believe cancellation risk is material, the draw market offers asymmetric protection - it pays YES while win markets pay NO. Consider this when sizing positions across the event group. Conversely, if you expect the match to occur, this divergence has minimal practical impact.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket - Draw Market: Resolves YES if game ends in draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Primary source: official DIMAYOR statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Polymarket - Tolima Win & Nacional Win Markets: Each resolves YES only if respective team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolves NO if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Primary source: official DIMAYOR statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi - All Three Markets (Tolima Win, Nacional Win, Tie): Each resolves YES if respective outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties). No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard Kalshi rules would apply, but implicit logic suggests NO resolution on cancellation to maintain mutual exclusivity with other outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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