TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CD Santa Clara vs. Rio Ave FC
Volume:
$39,808
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, April 11, 2026 between CD Santa Clara and Rio Ave FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three separate binary markets (draw, Rio Ave win, Santa Clara win) that partition all possible outcomes, while Kalshi defines three markets that each resolve YES for any outcome (draw, Rio Ave win, or Santa Clara win), creating fundamentally different settlement structures.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, all three markets will resolve YES regardless of the match result. If you are hedging across platforms, understand that Kalshi's structure means you cannot use it to offset Polymarket positions — all Kalshi markets move together to YES.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket creates three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome (draw YES/others NO, Rio Ave win YES/others NO, Santa Clara win YES/others NO). Each market explicitly resolves NO if its condition is not met: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If Rio Ave FC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi creates three markets that each resolve YES for any match outcome — one YES if Santa Clara wins, one YES if Rio Ave wins, one YES if there is a tie. The structure states 'If Santa Clara Azores wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Rio Ave wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning all three markets will simultaneously resolve YES regardless of the result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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